Five keys for a Horn win

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1. Be first, always

That means Horn landing his punch first, while also getting out of range first. Crawford is a master of luring opponents in and stinging them with his precision. Horn has been focused heavily on his footwork to avoid Crawford’s counterpunching. He needs to fly in from awkward angles, land clean and jump straight back out to escape punishment.

2. Stay crouched

Crawford’s big weapon is his body shot, which he’s used to devastating effect knocking out world-class fighters. He will wait for opponents to stand tall in exchanges and then thump their liver with rapid speed. Horn loves to stand toe-to-toe and exchange but he must protect his stomach.

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3. Bully him

Crawford is used to dictating ring position; he dominates centre ring when he wants, and steps back towards the ropes when he is setting traps. Horn must not allow Crawford to own the ring. He needs to push, wrestle, sidestep, harass, invite Crawford to come to him, and when he’s on the ropes, keep him there. Crawford’s feet are so fast he rarely gets trapped; Horn needs to flex his physicality to do so.

4. Use the overhand

It’s risky to throw the big, looping overhand right against someone as sharp as Crawford, but risk can bring reward. Horn won’t outbox him. He needs to hurt him. And the one shot Crawford can be vulnerable to is the overhand right, because he tends to move his head straight back rather than side to side when he’s going backward. Few fighters have landed the shot because Crawford sees it coming and counters with a short uppercut, so Horn needs to feint, step sideways and bring the big punch down on his nose.

5. Close the gap in the second half

Crawford is a notoriously slow starter, often giving away the majority of early rounds before storming home to win. There is a genius to his method. He lures fighters into a false sense of security, gets them comfortable, switches his stance from orthodox to southpaw and bamboozles them with his attack.

Horn must start hard and fast, coming in and out while being careful with his defence. If he can get to the sixth round, he should then close the distance on Crawford, who at that time will be looking to catch Horn coming in from further back. If Horn can stay on Crawford’s chest for the back half of the fight and apply constant pressure, his power will take a toll on the smaller man.

Jeff Horn v Terence Crawford Pay Per View will be broadcast on Foxtel Channel 507.

To order: www.mai​nevent.com.au

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